Showing posts with label Ohio State Buckeyes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ohio State Buckeyes. Show all posts

Sunday, January 1, 2017

The Evening After... One Step Closer

Someone must have gone into the settings and changed the difficulty level to "easy." Second-ranked Clemson drilled third-ranked Ohio State 31-0 in the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl Saturday night to clinch a second straight trip to the National Championship Game.

The Tigers out-coached and out-played the Buckeyes in the College Football Playoff semifinal. There was a clear discrepancy in talent and scheme all over the field. That won't be the case next week, as Clemson advances to face No. 1 Alabama in the title game in Tampa. Here are a few of my final thoughts on the win.

1) Early in the week, I had a feeling. It just crept up on me. That feeling was that Clemson was going to roll. I texted my good friend TJ Saturday afternoon to inform him of this because I had to tell someone. I didn't want to jinx it or look like a homer in my prediction post. I felt like Clemson was coming into the game hot. Ohio State struggled all year against top-tier teams (Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State). Clemson's defense was equivalent, statistically, to Wisconsin and Michigan, who held the Buckeyes to 23 and 17 points in regulation, respectively, and neither allowed an offensive touchdown until late in the third quarter. The Tigers offense was by far the most explosive Ohio State had played, but I noted that both teams would end up making plays, thus it would be a draw picking the better unit.

I didn't see a shutout coming, but I told him my thought was 41-13 - a 28-point win. Final difference: 31 points.

2) In my blogs, I noted that Deshaun Watson was the best player on the field. You didn't need to read that to know it, if you've watched any Clemson game the last three years. But it's worth noting every time the Tigers step on the field. Clemson has an advantage simply because of No. 4. He's 31-3 as a starter. One loss came at Georgia Tech when he left the game with a knee injury in the first quarter and did not return. Clemson was leading at the time he exited. Another was to Alabama in the championship game last year when he put up 478 yards and 40 points against the Tide. The third was to Pittsburgh this year, another game Watson was outstanding with 580 passing yards and leading the offense to 42 points. You can't count out Clemson with him under center.

3) Clelin Ferrell was never once mentioned in any pregame banter about the teams. When experts broke down Clemson's defensive front, names like Christian Wilkins, Carlos Watkins and Dexter Lawrence were uttered over and over again. But Ferrell, a redshirt freshman, was a force to be reckoned with. He recorded three tackles for loss, a sack, and earned Fiesta Bowl Defensive MVP honors.
The Tigers blanked the Buckeyes and now face Alabama once again.
(Photo courtesy Clemson Athletics)
As a group, the Tigers had 11 tackles for loss, three sacks, forced three turnovers and shut down Ohio State's vaunted rushing game. The Buckeyes went into the bowl game averaging 258 rushing yards and over 42 points per game. Ohio State finished with 88 rushing yards (215 total) and zero points.

4) The biggest defensive stat, in my opinion, was third down defense. Clemson was one of the best in the nation in that category and proved it again Saturday. Ohio State was 3-for-14 on third downs.

5) Wayne Gallman pounded out 85 yards on 18 carries with a score to lead a Tiger rushing attack that gained over 200 yards. Watson had 57 yards and two rushing TDs. Ohio State was 13th in the country allowing just 117 yards on the ground per game.

6) The play of the game to me was CJ Fuller's 30-yard touchdown catch on the wheel route. Fuller caught a similar touchdown in the Tigers' win over South Carolina. It looked like he had a step on the defender and Watson's pass was slightly under-thrown. That allowed the defender to catch up. No pass interference was called, but it was clear the Buckeye grabbed onto Fuller, knocking his arm down prior to the catch. His concentration and physical ability to keep his arm up, catch the ball and hang on while diving into the end zone was a thing of beauty.

7) Clemson football and its fanbase has been the brunt of the longest running joke in college football. You know the word. It doesn't need repeating. So, we're sorry if we're not sorry for basking in this moment, the moment of shutting out Ohio State on the second biggest stage in the game. The moment of giving Urban Meyer his worst loss and first shutout of his career. The moment of shutting up all the haters who still look at us as "little, ole Clemson," as Dabo likes to say. The moment of out-classing another college football blueblood. The moment you realized "Clemson is coming" wasn't just a catch-phrase. Clemson is "here."

8) I am always proud to be a Clemson Tiger, but these last two years have made walking around with a paw on my chest and that "C" on my ring all the better. Clemson fans, we are in rare air right now. Our Tigers are playing for the national championship for the second straight season, something that's never happened for the orange and white. This program has won 10 or more games six consecutive years, has defeated the likes of Auburn, Florida State, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Georgia and LSU, has taken back to Clemson an Orange Bowl trophy and a Fiesta Bowl trophy in back-to-back years, has seen a two-time Heisman finalist after never having anyone head to New York. Dabo Swinney has earned the right to be considered one of the top coaches in America right now and it's time people take notice.

9) Oh, they'll take notice on Monday, January 9. The entire 2016 season comes down to one game. A rematch for the ages. Perennial powerhouse, bad to the bone Bama against a band of brothers with one goal left to accomplish. ESPN did a nice piece on teams/fans across the country and their "We want Bama" signs. Folks, there's only one team that "wants" Bama. And there's only one team that can take down the mighty Tide. That team gets its chance to make college football history in Tampa.

10) Beat Alabama.

-BtW

Friday, December 30, 2016

Fiesta Bowl Prediction - Tigers vs. Buckeyes

No. 2 Clemson and No. 3 Ohio State square off in the
CFB Playoff Semifinal at the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl.
(Photo courtesy CFB Playoff)
We are less than 24 hours from kickoff of the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl between No. 2 Clemson and No. 3 Ohio State. BENched took at look at the matchups of Clemson's defense vs. Ohio State's offense and the Tigers offense vs. the Buckeyes defense the past couple days.

Now, it's time to predict who wins the game.

These two teams have had eerily similar seasons, with several blowout wins mixed in with too many close calls. The Tigers last left University of Phoenix Stadium with an empty feeling in their stomachs. Dabo Swinney and his team want to atone for the loss in the national title game. Ohio State also played in Glendale last year, taking down Notre Dame in the Fiesta Bowl. The Buckeyes hope they will leave Arizona with another 'W'. Either team that wins this one will head to Tampa with full confidence that it can win the national championship. So who will walk away victorious?

We noted that there is a virtual draw between the Tigers high-octane offense and the Buckeyes lockdown defense. Perhaps a big play here or there will be made on either side. But it appears if either team has an advantage somewhere it would be Clemson's defense.

Deshaun Watson will be the difference in the Fiesta Bowl.
(Photo courtesy Clemson Athletics)
Ohio State is going to force Clemson to stop the run. The Tigers big front welcomes that challenge. The Buckeyes are going to bust a couple big plays. It's happened all year to Clemson from Dalvin Cook to James Conner to Matt Dayes. There have been several busts and Curtis Samuel or Mike Weber will get loose.

But it won't happen all night. And Deshaun Watson and his offense are on a mission. Through his entire career, Watson has been at his best against the best. There is some unfinished business the Tigers want to close. With the best player on the field, Clemson gets it done.

Score Prediction: Clemson 34, Ohio State 27




Fiesta Bowl Preview: Clemson O vs. Ohio State D

Yesterday, BENched took a look at the matchup between the Clemson defense against the Ohio State offense. Today, we switch to the other side of the ball for both teams and take a look at the Tigers high-powered offense against the Buckeyes shut-down defense. (NOTE: Later this evening, BENched will provide a prediction for the game. Follow blogger Ben Whitehead on Twitter @thebenwhitehead)

Clemson Tigers Offense
Total Offense Rank: 12th
Total Yards Per Game: 505.7
Yards Per Play: 6.35
Rushing Offense Rank: 67th
Rushing Yards Per Game: 173.1
Passing Offense Rank: 7th
Passing Yards Per Game: 332.6
Scoring Offense Rank: 14th
Points Per Game: 40.2

Ohio State Buckeyes Defense
Total Defense Rank: 3rd
Total Yards Per Game: 282.3
Yards Per Play: 4.25
Rushing Defense Rank: 13th
Rushing Yards Per Game: 117.8
Passing Defense Rank: 5th
Passing Yards Per Game: 164.5
Scoring Defense Rank: 3rd
Points Per Game: 14.2

This is the juicy matchup of this game. There's little separation between how good Clemson's offense is and how dominant Ohio State's defense is. NFL Scouts salivate when these two units are on the field and they will get a chance to see them up close against each other.

Clemson does one thing extremely well while wanting to be highly successful in another area. The Tigers own the seven best pass offense in the country and have arguably the best set of skill players. Receivers Mike Williams and Artavis Scott receive a lot of the attention, but the Tigers are loaded at the wideout position with Deon Cain, Hunter Renfrow and Ray-Ray McCloud plus tight end Jordan Leggett.
Clemson fans are confident No. 4 won't let them down.
(Photo courtesy Associated Press)

It doesn't hurt that there's a two-time Heisman finalist throwing to that group. Deshaun Watson will go down as one of the best, if not the best, to ever don the Tiger Paw. Watson's game has transformed since last year. He is still a runner when he has to, but his numbers in the passing game have increased. He's scanning the field more pre-snap to see what the defense is doing. All season long, Clemson coaches along with Watson have uttered the phrase, "We're just taking what they're giving us." That's meant more short passes and more passes in general.

Watson is on pace to surpass his passing numbers from a season ago. He does have 15 interceptions, but he closed the season with 10 touchdowns to just two INTs in his final three games. For the season, Watson has completed nearly 68 percent of his passes for 3,914 yards with a Clemson record 37 touchdowns. Watson has two weapons at his disposal that he didn't have during last year's Playoff - Williams and Cain. Both missed for differing reasons, but both will be on the field in the Fiesta Bowl.

Last season, particularly down the stretch, Clemson relied on the legs of Watson and Wayne Gallman. Many pundits will argue that running the ball with Watson is what pushed Clemson to the National Championship Game last season. In four of the final six games, he rushed for over 100 yards, including three games where he had 20+ carries. This season, he's only gone over 15 carries twice - at FSU and vs. VT in the ACC Championship. Watson has yet to eclipse the 100-yard mark on the ground.

While Gallman hasn't been used as much in the game plan, the Tigers have made it a point to at least say he is an integral part of the plan - but teams have forced Watson into changing calls at the line. Still, Gallman has over 1,000 yards on the ground. He's only the sixth back in program history to go over 3,000 yards in his career. The offense simply hasn't been put on his back this season. It goes through the air.

And that's what Ohio State wants. The Buckeyes boast an elite secondary that has been a nightmare for the Big Ten. Led by All-American safety Malik Hooker, Ohio State is second in the country in defensive touchdowns behind only Alabama. The Buckeyes have forced 25 turnovers, 19 of which have been interceptions.
At the center of it all for the Buckeyes defense is All-American Malik Hooker.
(Photo courtesy USA Today Sports)
Hooker might be the household name, but the Bucks are deep at the cornerback spot. Gareon Conley, Denzel Ward and Marshon Lattimore have locked down opposing team's deep threats. Hooker and Damon Webb keep the middle of the field a scary place for QBs to throw. The duo has also kept running backs at bay, not giving them space to break a long run with their length and ability to cover sideline to sideline.

Defensive coordinator Greg Schiano uses a press quarters defense. It's essentially a man defense, but allows for free roaming by the defender in each quarter of the field. Cornerbacks are on an island when the Buckeyes blitz. But Schiano trusts his guys and its worked. Ohio State is 10th in the country in third down defense. Getting off the field against the Tigers will be key.

Clemson's spread offense will force OSU linebackers Raekwon McMillan and Jerome Baker to cover receivers more than they have all season. That could open up the running game if the backers are spread out or being pulled away from the box.

We're not discounting the front seven for Ohio State nor the offensive line for Clemson. But this battle will be won on the outside. If Clemson can find success through the air, the Tigers will have the upper hand. If Ohio State limits Watson and Co., the Buckeyes will force Clemson out of its comfort zone.

There are two trains of thought here. One, Clemson has not seen a defense quite like this one all season. If there's any comparison, it might be Auburn. But that game was so long ago and such a different game having been the season opener when both teams were still figuring things out.

The other is Ohio State hasn't played an offense as dynamic and with the skill players like Clemson. Ohio State limited Oklahoma in Week 3, but again that feels like forever ago and the Sooners hadn't hit their stride.

Clemson fans will relax a little knowing Watson is on their side. Buckeye Nation will feel good about the relentless pressure with which OSU plays. Neither truly knows what to expect, though, because this is the best matchup this season for both units. That's why we're calling this a draw.

Advantage: Even

-BtW

Thursday, December 29, 2016

Fiesta Bowl Preview: Clemson D vs. Ohio State O

In just two days, the No. 2 Clemson Tigers will square off against the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes in the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, Ariz. This is the second semifinal game of the 2016 College Football Playoff. The winner will advance to Tampa for the National Championship against the winner of the Peach Bowl between No. 1 Alabama and No. 4 Washington.

Today, BENched takes a look at the matchup between the Clemson defense and the Ohio State offense. Tomorrow, we'll break down the Tigers O against the Buckeyes D, as well as provide the prediction for the game. Let's get started with a little tale of the tape.

Ohio State Buckeyes Offense
Total Offense Rank: 20th
Total Yards Per Game: 479.5
Yards Per Play: 6.15
Rushing Offense Rank: 9th
Rushing Yards Per Game: 258.3
Passing Offense Rank: 77th
Passing Yards Per Game: 221.2
Scoring Offense Rank: 9th
Points Per Game: 42.7

Clemson Tigers Defense
Total Defense Rank: 8th
Total Yards Per Game: 313.9
Yards Per Play: 4.61
Rushing Defense Rank: 22nd
Rushing Yards Per Game: 125.8
Passing Defense Rank: 19th
Passing Yards Per Game: 188.2
Scoring Defense Rank: 11th
Points Per Game: 18.4

We begin with Ohio State's offense and the man running it all J.T. Barrett. The junior signal-caller completed nearly 62 percent of his passes for 2,428 yards with 24 touchdowns and only five interceptions. As Buckeye coach Urban Meyer put it, "One thing you don't hear about our quarterbacks, 'They're gunslingers, they're risk takers.' That's not how we do that."

Meyer loves his power spread offense designed to be an option offense out of the spread and shotgun formation. It's predicated on running the football down a defenses throats to make them commit, then hitting play-action to open receivers and backs out of the backfield. Barrett was second on the team in rushing with 847 yards and tied with rushing leader Mike Weber with nine touchdowns. The big play threats include Weber and Curtis Samuel, the latter of whom was the only player in the nation to have over 700 yards rushing and receiving this season.
Ohio State's Curtis Samuel is one of the keys to the Buckeyes' spread attack.
(Photo courtesy USA Today Sports)
Samuel has been compared to Percy Harvin, a previous Meyer player from his days at Florida. The Buckeyes use Samuel in similar ways, giving him the ball on jet sweeps, dump passes, motioning him in and out of the backfield to create space for him to operate. His 15 touchdowns, 12.8 yards per catch and 7.7 yards per rush prove it's working.

If there's a weakness for the Buckeyes, it's their inability to pass block. Barrett was sacked 24 times this season, 19 of which have come in the latter half of the season against better Big Ten defenses (Penn State, Michigan State and Michigan accounted for 15 total sacks).

Christian Wilkins and the Clemson front seven will need to be
up to the challenge of slowing down OSU's rushing attack.
(Photo courtesy Associated Press)
That spells trouble against a Clemson defense that recorded 46 sacks and 112 tackles for loss, both good for third best in the nation. The Tigers are deep across the defensive front with Christian Wilkins, Carlos Watkins and ACC Rookie of the Year Dexter Lawrence anchoring the line. Wilkins is Clemson's do-it-all kinda guy. He's an interior lineman playing the end position, which started out of necessity when Austin Bryant was injured during preseason. Bryant is back and has added to the depth, but Wilkins has been a critical piece to the starting rotation.

The next level is where things get shaky. Linebackers Ben Boulware and Kendall Joseph have been tremendous in most areas, but downfield coverage is a weak spot. Ohio State could exploit this with some counters with Samuel (a la Dalvin Cook at FSU) and play-action calls. Going back to his days with Oklahoma, Brent Venables' defenses have been suspect defending those type of plays. But give credit where it's due to Venables, who won the Broyles Award as the nation's top assistant coach. He is one of the best in the country in scheming, particularly when given extra time and ample video evidence of a team's offense.

Clemson will need to key in on the run without its secondary getting sucked into the box. Safety Jadar Johnson and the entire secondary will need to rely on the gameplan and read their keys. If the Tigers get caught looking in the backfield, receivers like Samuel, Noah Brown or tight end Marcus Baugh could find themselves streaking down field. If so, this one could end up looking at lot like the National Championship Game from a season ago.

One final note on Ohio State: When the Buckeyes faced their toughest defensive opponents, they struggled mightily. Here is a list of the top defenses OSU faced and their point totals in those games:
  • (2) Michigan - 30 in double OT (17 at end of regulation)
  • (7) Wisconsin - 30 in OT (23 at end of regulation)
  • (22) Nebraska - 62
  • (23) Penn State - 21
  • (34) Michigan State - 17
Nebraska was the clear exception, but the Huskers were depleted and spent by the time they traveled to Columbus. The other four games produced an average of 19.5 points per game in regulation. Clemson is No. 8 in total defense, comparable to Wisconsin. The Buckeyes didn't score a TD against the Badgers until three minutes to go in the third quarter. Against Michigan, OSU didn't score an offensive TD until 1:06 to play in the 3rd. If it takes that long for the Buckeyes to get in the end zone Saturday, the lead may be insurmountable. With the leadership, depth and experience Clemson has, it's tough to go against the Tigers here.

Advantage: Clemson

-BtW